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Poisson Games and Sudden-Death Overtime

NBA Predictions for 11/21/2012

h_str = home team strength (including home court advantage)
o_str = opponent team strength (including away court disadvantage)
pr_home = estimated probability of home team winning

 home | opp | h_str | o_str | pr_home 
------+-----+-------+-------+---------
 ATL  | WAS |  1.03 |  0.93 |    0.85
 BOS  | SAS |  1.00 |  1.03 |    0.40
 CHA  | TOR |  0.99 |  0.96 |    0.63
 CLE  | PHI |  0.98 |  0.98 |    0.48
 DAL  | NYK |  1.02 |  1.08 |    0.28
 GSW  | BRK |  1.01 |  1.00 |    0.56
 HOU  | CHI |  1.02 |  0.97 |    0.70
 IND  | NOH |  1.01 |  0.95 |    0.72
 MIA  | MIL |  1.07 |  0.99 |    0.78
 MIN  | DEN |  1.01 |  0.99 |    0.58
 OKC  | LAC |  1.05 |  1.06 |    0.49
 ORL  | DET |  0.97 |  0.95 |    0.56
 PHO  | POR |  0.97 |  0.97 |    0.52
 SAC  | LAL |  0.95 |  1.01 |    0.28


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